CFL Week 3 Picks

Your weeknight plans just got made. The Thursday/Friday games should be great football. Let’s get into this weeks picks.

Thursday, June 28

Ottawa @ Calgary

These two teams have played some good football against each other over the past years, and there’s not much reason to think that won’t happen again. I’m going with the home team Calgary in a close game.

Ottawa Efficiency 
Strength: 23.158
Offense (PF/100yd): 6.95
Defense (PA/100yd): 3.41

Ottawa Efficiency
Strength: 
21.114
Offense (PF/100yd): 8.71
Defense 
(PA/100yd): 4.93

Pick: Calgary
Confidence:
Low

Spread: Ottawa +8
Confidence: Medium


Friday, June 29

Winnipeg @ Hamilton

This is a tough one, both Hamilton and Winnipeg are looking great early on in the season. You could make a case for both teams winning, so I’m going to take the home team straight up, and the points on the spread.

Winnipeg Efficiency 
Strength: 21.879
Offense (PF/100yd): 9.52
Defense (PA/100yd): 6.30

Hamilton Efficiency
Strength: 
20.079
Offense (PF/100yd): 5.60
Defense 
(PA/100yd): 6.31

Pick: Hamilton
Confidence:
Low

Spread: Winnipeg +4.5
Confidence: low


BC @ Edmonton

I don’t like that I’m using Montreal as a measuring stick, but hear me out. Edmonton beat Winnipeg who beat Montreal by more points than BC beat Montreal. That logic is probably deeply flawed but I need to put something down if I’m just going to gut pick Edmonton here.

BC Efficiency 
Strength: 18.068
Offense (PF/100yd): 7.33
Defense (PA/100yd): 2.79

Edmonton Efficiency
Strength: 
18.535
Offense (PF/100yd): 6.47
Defense 
(PA/100yd): 8.07

Pick: Edmonton
Confidence:
High

Spread: Edmonton -6.5
Confidence: Low


Saturday, June 30

Montreal @ Saskatchewan

Montreal has given us no reason to believe in them, and I don’t think on the road in Saskatchewan is when they will surprise us with their first win of the season either. As for the spread, 11.5 is a lot of points to give, but we’ll go with it anyways.

Montreal Efficiency 
Strength: 13.241
Offense (PF/100yd): 3.61
Defense (PA/100yd): 8.78

Saskatchewan Efficiency
Strength: 
18.027
Offense (PF/100yd): 6.68
Defense 
(PA/100yd): 7.89

Pick: Saskatchewan
Confidence:
High

Spread: Saskatchewan -11.5
Confidence: Medium

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